Safeguards Envelope Progress FY08

Bean, Robert ; Metcalf, Richard ; Bevill, Aaron

Idaho National Laboratory

关键词: Statistics;    Reprocessing;    98 Nuclear Disarmament, Safeguards, And Physical Protection;    Transients Process Monitoring;    Process Monitoring;   

DOI  :  10.2172/944213
RP-ID  :  INL/EXT-08-14915
RP-ID  :  DE-AC07-99ID-13727
RP-ID  :  944213

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来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

The Safeguards Envelope Project met its milestones by creating a rudimentary safeguards envelope, proving the value of the approach on a small scale, and determining the most appropriate path forward. The Idaho Chemical Processing Plant’s large cache of reprocessing process monitoring data, dubbed UBER Data, was recovered and used in the analysis. A probabilistic Z test was used on a Markov Monte Carlo simulation of expected diversion data when compared with normal operating data. The data regarding a fully transient event in a tank was used to create a simple requirement, representative of a safeguards envelope, whose impact was a decrease in operating efficiency by 1.3% but an increase in material balance period of 26%. This approach is operator, state, and international safeguards friendly and should be applied to future reprocessing plants. Future requirements include tank-to-tank correlations in reprocessing facilities, detailed operations impact studies, simulation inclusion, automated optimization, advanced statistics analysis, and multi-attribute utility analysis.