The OECD Medium-Term Reference Scenario : Economic Outlook No.74

Peter Downes ; Aaron Drew ; Patrice Ollivaud

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

关键词: forecasts;    international;    OECD;   

DOI  :  https://doi.org/10.1787/415580146531

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: OECD iLibrary

【 摘 要 】

This working paper describes a medium-term reference scenario for the OECD based on the shortterm projections described in OECD Economic Outlook No.74. OECD-wide real GDP is projected to expand at 2¾ per cent per annum between 2006 and 2009 and the area-wide rate of unemployment to fall below 6 per cent at the end of the period, while inflation rises only slightly. Despite a fairly robust recovery, fiscal balances remain in significant deficit for the area as a whole; there is little overall improvement in current external imbalances between regions ...