科技报告详细信息
Armenia Demographic Change :Implications for Social Policy and Poverty
World Bank
World Bank
关键词: ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE;    ACTIVE LABOR;    ACTIVE LABOR MARKET;    ACTIVE LABOR MARKET POLICIES;    ACTIVE LABOR MARKET PROGRAMS;   
RP-ID  :  63154
学科分类:社会科学、人文和艺术(综合)
来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
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【 摘 要 】

This note provides an overview ofdemographic changes and their policy implications inArmenia, with particular reference to the poor. Armenia iscurrently experiencing a significant aging of the populationand decrease in the size of the population, these changeshave far-reaching implications. The fertility rate inArmenia has fallen dramatically, from about 4.5 children perwoman in the 1950s to 1.74 children per woman at present,which is well under the fertility rate required forpopulation replacement. Armenia's population, whichstood at 3.5 million people in 1990, is expected to decreaseto 3 million by 2050. This trend, combined with increasinglife expectancy, underlies the growing rise in thepercentage of elderly persons and the decline in theworking-age population. This note provides an overview ofthe key demographic changes unfolding in Armenia, highlightstheir linkages with social spending, and draws policyimplications for labor force participation, productivity,and ultimately for Armenia's development and povertyreduction trajectory. The note is structured as follows:section two summarizes the key demographic trends underwayin Armenia; section three presents a profile of poverty andsocial spending by age; section four analyzes the fourpolicy issues as listed in column 2 of table 1. In each ofthese three sections, the poverty reduction angle isemphasized. The final section provides a summary of the key messages.

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