科技报告详细信息
Catastrophe Risk Assessment Methodology
World Bank
Washington, DC
关键词: FLOODING;    TECTONIC PLATES;    RISK PROFILES;    EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS;    CATASTROPHIC EVENTS;   
RP-ID  :  97447
学科分类:社会科学、人文和艺术(综合)
来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
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【 摘 要 】

The Pacific Region is one of the mostnatural disaster prone regions on earth. The Pacific IslandCountries (PICs) are highly exposed to the adverse effectsof climate change and natural hazards, which can result indisasters affecting their entire economic, human, andphysical environment and impact their long-term developmentagenda. The average annual direct losses caused by naturaldisasters are estimated at US$284 million. Since 1950natural disasters have affected approximately 9.2 millionpeople in the Pacific Region, causing 9,811 reported deaths.This has cost the PICs around US$3.2 billion (in nominalterms) in associated damage costs. This report focuses onthe development of the country catastrophe risk profiles,the information collected, how it was catalogued andprocessed, and now being used for a variety of applicationsin Climate and Disaster Risk Management. The country riskprofiles integrate data collected and produced through riskmodeling and include maps showing the geographicdistribution of assets and people at risk (section one),hazards assessed (section two) and potential monetary lossesand casualties (section three). The profiles also include ananalysis of the possible direct losses (in absolute termsand normalized by GDP) caused by tropical cyclones andearthquakes, and their impact though severe winds, rainfall,coastal storm surge, ground shaking and tsunami waves. Theexpected return period indicates the likelihood of a certainspecified loss amount to be exceeded in any one year.

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