Section one of the papers provides abrief overview of the relationship between the Sahel regionof Africa and climate variability trends and predictions,ultimately posing the primary research question of thestudy: Is the Sahel region more likely to have a higherprobability of conflict and migration as a result of climatechange and climate change-related events? In section two,research and analysis aim to identify causal paths betweenclimate change, migration, and conflict via structuralequation modeling focusing on recent climate change trendsin the Africa and Sahel regions, particularly changes intemperature and rainfall, and analyzing the consequences ofthis climate variabil¬ity, namely migration and conflict.Section three brings the aspect of youth into the analysis,arguing that youth living in the rural Sahel region willlikely find themselves particularly vulnerable to in¬creasedclimate change and variability, which will have direct andindirect implications on the security and livelihoods ofthese individuals. The paper explores the past, current andpredicted issues faced by rural Sahel youth affected by theimpacts of climate change, such as chronic unemployment andengagement in the illicit sector due to rural to urbanmigration from regions affected by drought, desertificationand resource scarcity. The final section of the paper offerspolicy recommen¬dations for addressing negativeclimate-change related consequences through two key paths ofintervention: (i) climate change adaptation measures and(ii) conflict and crime prevention measures.
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