Oil and the Propensity to Armed Struggle in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria

Oyefusi, Aderoju

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: ACCESS TO EDUCATION;    ACCESS TO EMPLOYMENT;    CITIZEN;    CITIZENS;    CIVIL CONFLICT;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-4194
RP-ID  :  WPS4194

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

This paper attempts to explain thedeterminants of the propensity to armed struggle and theprobability of participation by individuals in the NigerDelta region of Nigeria using primary (micro) data. Whilegrievance appears to be pervasive among individuals andcommunities in the region and can be systematicallyexplained, neither the grievance level nor its commonlycited causal factors appear to be strong enough to create adisposition toward armed rebellion. Rather, factors thatreduce the opportunity cost and risk of participation orincrease the perceived benefits appear to be more important.The study identifies three of these factors that areamenable to the policymaker's (government's)control as income level, educational attainment, andgovernment presence.