Doha Merchandise Trade Reform : What is at Stake for Developing Countries?

Anderson, Kym ; Martin, Will ; van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique

Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank

关键词: WTO;    Merchandise trade;    trade reform;    Doha Round;    GTAP;   

DOI  :  10.1093/wber/lhj009
RP-ID  :  77516

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

This article: a) summarizes the costs ofcurrent merchandise trade distortions to developing andother economies; b) examines some scenarios that mightemerge as part of an eventual Doha agreement consistent withthe 2005 Hong Kong Ministerial declaration, particularlywith respect to agriculture; and c) draws implications forthe strategies developing countries might adopt in the WorldTrade Organization's (WTO's) Doha round ofmultilateral trade negotiations. This article estimates whatthe world economy might look like in 2015 without and with asuccessful conclusion to the Doha round, how far Doha couldtake the world toward an outcome with no distortions inmerchandise trade, and what contribution various elements ofa Doha package could make.