Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Idaho National Laboratory

Christopher P. Ischay ; Ernest L. Fossum ; Polly C. Buotte ; Jeffrey A. Hicke ; Alexander Peterson

关键词: Climate Change;    Climate Change Adaptation;    Climate Change Resilience;    Resilience;    Sustainability;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1166046
RP-ID  :  INL/EXT-14-33529
PID  :  OSTI ID: 1166046

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

The University of Idaho (UI) was asked to participate in the development of a climate change vulnerability assessment for Idaho National Laboratory (INL). This report describes the outcome of that assessment. The climate change happening now, due in large part to human activities, is expected to continue in the future. UI and INL used a common framework for assessing vulnerability that considers exposure (future climate change), sensitivity (system or component responses to climate), impact (exposure combined with sensitivity), and adaptive capacity (capability of INL to modify operations to minimize climate change impacts) to assess vulnerability. Analyses of climate change (exposure) revealed that warming that is ongoing at INL will continue in the coming decades, with increased warming in later decades and under scenarios of greater greenhouse gas emissions. Projections of precipitation are more uncertain, with multi model means exhibiting somewhat wetter conditions and more wet days per year. Additional impacts relevant to INL include estimates of more burned area and increased evaporation and transpiration, leading to reduced soil moisture and plant growth.