Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens

Epidemics

Sebastian Funk¹  James O. Lloyd-Smith²  Angela R. McLean³  Steven Riley⁴  James L.N. Wood⁴ 

[1] Center for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom;Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA;Department of Zoology, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom;Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA;

关键词: Emerging infectious diseases;    Zoonosis;    Infectious disease dynamics;    Host jump;    Cross-species spillover transmission;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.002

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.

【 授权许可】

Unknown