Scoring Model of the Financial Health of the Electrical Engineering Industry’s Non-Financial Corporations

Energies

Sylvia Jenčová¹  Róbert Štefko²  Petra Vašaničová³ 

[1] Department of Finance, Faculty of Management, University of Prešov, 080 01 Prešov, Slovakia;Department of Marketing and International Trade, Faculty of Management, University of Prešov, 080 01 Prešov, Slovakia;Department of Mathematical Methods and Managerial Informatics, Faculty of Management, University of Prešov, 080 01 Prešov, Slovakia;

关键词: scoring model;    financial health;    electrical engineering industry;    Slovakia;    logistic regression;   

DOI  :  10.3390/en13174364

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

The aim of this paper is to estimate the probability of bankruptcy of the companies from the Slovak electrical engineering industry based on data obtained from financial statements. Parameters of the predictive model were estimated using binary logistic regression. This model is able to predict the probability of a company’s bankruptcy based on values of significant explanatory variables (accounts payable turnover ratio (APTR), return on sales (ROS), quick ratio (QR), financial leverage (FL), net working capital/assets (NWC/A)). The model is constructed using the financial data of a large sample of electrical engineering companies from 2017. Resulting estimated odds ratios show that, in the electrical engineering industry, ROS, QR, and NWC/A significantly reduce the likelihood of bankruptcy. In other words, if these financial indicators increase, the probability of bankruptcy decreases. Our results are also applicable to other industries connected with industrial production, especially the mechanical engineering industry.

【 授权许可】

Unknown