Does Temperature Affect COVID-19 Transmission?

Frontiers in Public Health

article

Aly Zein Elabdeen Kassem¹ 

[1] Agricultural Marketing and Information Systems Department, Center of Agricultural Planning and Development, Institute of National Planning

关键词: COVID-19;    SARS-CoV-2;    infectious disease;    COVID-19 transmission;    temperature;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fpubh.2020.554964

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

This study utilizes the non-linear least squares method to estimate the impact of temperature on COVID-19 cases per million in forty-three countries, divided into three groups as follows: the first group is composed of thirteen countries that announced the first COVID-19 cases in January 2020, while the second and third groups contain thirteen and seventeen countries, respectively, that witnessed the pandemic for the first time in February and March of the same year. This relationship was measured after four time periods from the date of reporting the first case until April 1, April 15, May 15, and July 8, 2020. The results show an inverse relationship between COVID-19 cases per million and the temperature in the studies of the four-time periods for the three-country groups. These results were only significant statistically ( p < 0.1) after 110.8, 164.8 days on average from the beginning of the pandemic in the case of “January” countries.

【 授权许可】

CC BY