The future of higher education in BRIC countries: a demographic perspective

Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População

Raquel Rangel De Meireles Guimarães¹ 

[1] ,Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional Belo Horizonte MG ,Brazil

关键词: Higher education;    Demographic transition;    BRIC countries;    Ensino superior;    Transição demográfica;    Países BRIC;    Educación superior;    Transición demográfica;    Países BRIC;   

DOI  :  10.1590/S0102-30982013000200011

来源: SciELO

【 摘 要 】

In regard to the development and reform of higher education (HE), recent and projected evidence suggest that enrollment growth is likely to be slower than it is at present (or even negative) as a result of ageing populations. The case of the BRIC countries is particularly interesting for the study of the impact of demographic changes on HE because these countries show considerable diversity regarding their demographic transition. This paper explores how demographic changes are likely to affect the demand for higher education in BRIC countries. I argue that these countries are now facing a great expansion of enrollment but, given declining fertility levels, diversification of the HE clientele will become a common strategy. But diversification of the student population will place a new and complex set of demands on HE institutions, and equity in higher education in the near future will depend on how HE systems are structured in these countries.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
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