Particle and Fibre Toxicology | |
Temperature, relative humidity and sunshine may be the effective predictors for occurrence of malaria in Guangzhou, southern China, 2006–2012 | |
Ming Wang1  Zhicong Yang1  Tiegang Li1  | |
[1] Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510440, China | |
关键词: Early warning; Correlation; Meteorological variables; Parasite disease; Malaria; | |
Others : 1227027 DOI : 10.1186/1756-3305-6-155 |
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received in 2013-05-17, accepted in 2013-05-27, 发布年份 2013 | |
【 摘 要 】
Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years. The goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. Our results revealed that each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. Likewise, a one percent rise in relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in sunshine led to an increase of 0.68% in the monthly number of cases. Our findings may be useful for developing a simple, precise malaria early warning system.
【 授权许可】
2013 Li et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.
【 预 览 】
Files | Size | Format | View |
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20150927082451451.pdf | 153KB | download |
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