Very short term load forecasting peak load time using fuzzy logic

2017 1st International Conference on Engineering and Applied Technology

Jamaaluddin, J.^1 ; Hadidjaja, D.^1 ; Sulistiyowati, I.^1 ; Suprayitno, E.A.^1 ; Anshory, I.^1 ; Syahrorini, S.^1

Universitas Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo, Jl. Mojopahit 666B Sidoarjo Jl. Raya Gelam 250, Candi Sidoarjo, Indonesia^1

关键词: Electric power;    Electrical load;    Load forecasting;    Mape;    Peak load;    Short term load forecasting;    Very short term forecasting;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/403/1/012070/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/403/1/012070

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

One of the important things to do in electric power system operation is load forecasting. Load forecasting consists short term load forecasting and very short term forecasting. The very short-term load forecasting is predicting electrical loads in every 30 minutes. This forecasting is done to decide which plant to operate. The capacity of the plant to be operated adjusts to the load plan to be supplied the next day One method utilized in this research is Fuzzy Logic. This method has been applied for short-term load forecasting and will be employed for very short-term forecasting peak load time. Fuzzy logic expected has a small MAPE (0,6244%).