A comprehensive review for wind, solar, and electrical load forecasting methods

Global Energy Interconnection

Ershun Du¹  Ning Zhang²  Jie Yan³  Han Wang³  Shuang Han⁴  Yongqian Liu⁵ 

[1] School of New Energy, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, PR China;State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, PR China;Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, PR China;Low Carbon Energy Laboratory, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, PR China;State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, PR China;

关键词: Wind power;    Solar power;    Electrical load;    Forecasting;    Numerical Weather Prediction;    Correlation;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Wind power, solar power, and electrical load forecasting are essential works to ensure the safe and stable operation of the electric power system. With the increasing permeability of new energy and the rising demand response load, the uncertainty on the production and load sides are both increased, bringing new challenges to the forecasting work and putting forward higher requirements to the forecasting accuracy. Most review/survey papers focus on one specific forecasting object (wind, solar, or load), a few involve the above two or three objects, but the forecasting objects are surveyed separately. Some papers predict at least two kinds of objects simultaneously to cope with the increasing uncertainty at both production and load sides. However, there is no corresponding review at present. Hence, our study provides a comprehensive review of wind, solar, and electrical load forecasting methods. Furthermore, the survey of Numerical Weather Prediction wind speed/irradiance correction methods is also included in this manuscript. Challenges and future research directions are discussed at last.

【 授权许可】

Unknown