Markov Modeling for the Availability of Firearms

2018 5th International Conference on Advanced Materials, Mechanics and Structural Engineering

材料科学;机械制造;土木建筑工程

Bai, Jun-Min^1 ; Yang, Cheng-Wei^1 ; Zeng, Yan^1

Baicheng Ordnance Test Center of China, Baicheng

137000, China^1

关键词: Calculation models;    Combat readiness;    Firing time;    Markov model;    Normal state;    Steady-state availability;    Working methods;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/473/1/012049/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/473/1/012049

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

In order to give a reasonable forecast of firearms combat readiness, analysis of gun working method is the stochastic process of which time and status are both discrete, to simulate it by Markov process, and to deduce the calculation model of the steady state availability of firearms. Through the calculation model, as long as the known of gun state before start to work, we can just determine the probability of which gun is in the normal state at each firing time, this model can provide an important theoretical basis for maintenance test of the gun.