会议论文详细信息
3rd International Conference on Energy Equipment Science and Engineering
Application of Improved Grey Model in Medium and Long Term Load Forecasting
Che, Xuan^1
College of Chemical Engineering, Qingdao University of Science and Technology, China^1
关键词: Grey forecasting theories;    Grey Model;    Improved grey model;    Load data;    Markov model;    Medium and long term load forecasting;    Power load forecasting;    Prediction accuracy;   
Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/128/1/012010/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/128/1/012010
来源: IOP
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【 摘 要 】

Grey model is a common method in medium and long-term power load forecasting, but it has great limitations. According to the characteristics of medium and long term power load forecasting, the method of sliding average and the principle of Markov model are introduced into the Grey forecasting theory, and the model is improved. This improvement can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Based on the load data of Qingdao City in the past ten years, it can be proved that the improved Grey model has improved the accuracy of the former.

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