学位论文详细信息
Heavy-tail Sensitivity of Stable Portfolios
Stable Portfolios;Portfolio Optimization;Electrical and Computer Engineering
Agatonovic, Marko
University of Waterloo
关键词: Stable Portfolios;    Portfolio Optimization;    Electrical and Computer Engineering;   
Others  :  https://uwspace.uwaterloo.ca/bitstream/10012/5427/1/Heavy-Tail%20Sensitivity%20of%20Stable%20Portfolios.pdf
瑞士|英语
来源: UWSPACE Waterloo Institutional Repository
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【 摘 要 】

This thesis documents a heavy-tailed analysis of stable portfolios. Stock market crashes occur more often than is predicted by a normal distribution,which provides empirical evidence that asset returns are heavy-tailed. The motivation of this thesis is to study the effects of heavy-tailed distributions of asset returns. It is imperative to know the risk that is incurred for unlikely tail events in order to develop a safer and more accurate portfolio. The heavy-tailed distribution that is used to model asset returns is the stable distribution.The problem of optimally allocating assets between normal and stable distribution portfolios is studied. Furthermore, a heavy-tail sensitivity analysis is performed in order to see how the optimal allocation changes as the heavy-tail coefficient is altered.In order to solve both problems, we use a mean-dispersion risk measure and a probability of loss risk measure. Our analysis is done for two-asset stable portfolios, one of the assets being risk-free, and one risky.The approach used involves changing the heavy-tail parameter of the stable distribution and finding the differences in the optimal asset allocation.The key result is that relatively more wealth is allocated to the risk-free asset when using stable distributions than when using normal distributions. The exception occurs when using a loss probability risk measure with a very high risk tolerance. We conclude that portfolios assuming normal distributions incorrectly calculate the risk in two types of situations.These portfolios do not account for the heavy-tail risk when the risk tolerance is low and they do not account for the higher peak around the mean when the risk tolerance is high.

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