Trade and Labour Market Outcomes in Germany

Holger Görgi ; Dennis Görlichi iKiel Institute for the World Economy

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

关键词: wages;    trade;    inclusive growth;    employment;   

DOI  :  https://doi.org/10.1787/5kg3nh94z5r8-en

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: OECD iLibrary

【 摘 要 】

The German economy is characterized by a high degree of foreign exposure through exports and imports. This paper considers the link between trade and labour market outcomes in Germany. To that end we combine individual-level data from the German Socio Economic Panel for the period 1999 to 2007 with industry-level data on various aspects of trade – exports, imports and offshoring. We consider their effects on wages and the probability of moving into unemployment. Our econometric analysis suggests that there is little impact of trade-related variables on individual-level wages, whereas there appears to be some impact with respect to employment. We find some important differences between manufacturing and services sectors, in particular with regard to exporting and offshoring.