Breaking the Conflict Trap :Civil War and Development Policy

Collier, Paul ; Elliott, V. L. ; Hegre, Hå ; vard ; Hoeffler, Anke ; Reynal-Querol, Marta ; Sambanis, Nicholas

Washington, DC:World Bank and Oxford University Press

关键词: ACCESS TO HEALTH SERVICES;    ADULT MORTALITY;    AIDS PANDEMIC;    ARMAMENTS;    ARMED CONFLICT;   

DOI  :  10.1596/978-0-8213-5481-0
RP-ID  :  56793

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

Most wars are now civil wars. Eventhough international wars attract enormous global attention,they have become infrequent and brief. Civil wars usuallyattract less attention, but they have become increasinglycommon and typically go on for years. This report arguesthat civil war is now an important issue for development.War retards development, but conversely, development retardswar. This double causation gives rise to virtuous andvicious circles. Where development succeeds, countriesbecome progressively safer from violent conflict, makingsubsequent development easier. Where development fails,countries are at high risk of becoming caught in a conflicttrap in which war wrecks the economy and increases the riskof further war. The global incidence of civil war is highbecause the international community has done little to avertit. Inertia is rooted in two beliefs: that we can safely'let them fight it out among themselves' and that'nothing can be done' because civil war is drivenby ancestral ethnic and religious hatreds. The purpose ofthis report is to challenge these beliefs.