Vulnerability to Higher Oil Prices : Decomposition Analysis of One Hundred and 158 Countries between 2003 and 2008

Kojima, Masami

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: APPROACH;    COMMERCIAL ENERGY;    COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION;    CRUDE OIL;    CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION;   

RP-ID  :  83517

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

This note examines changes invulnerability to oil price increases over a five-year periodending in 2008. A decomposition analysis applied to onehundred and fifty-eight countries found that vulnerabilityhad increased in eighty-two percent of countries, with morethan half experiencing vulnerability exceeding five percentin 2008 and one fifth experiencing vulnerability exceedingten percent.This document explores the background of theissue, and includes tabulation to indicate the countrieswith greatest vulnerabilities, decomposition results forBank client countries in Africa, Europe and Central Asia,Latin America and the Caribbean, South Asia, and the MiddleEast and North Africa, and corresponding tabulation fornon-IDA/IBRD countries.