Growth Still Is Good for the Poor

Dollar, David ; Kleineberg, Tatjana ; Kraay, Aart

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: ABSOLUTE POVERTY;    ADVANCED ECONOMIES;    AGGREGATE GROWTH;    AGGREGATE INCOME;    AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-6568
RP-ID  :  WPS6568

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

Incomes in the poorest two quintiles onaverage increase at the same rate as overall averageincomes. This is because, in a global dataset spanning 118countries over the past four decades, changes in the shareof income of the poorest quintiles are generally small anduncorrelated with changes in average income. The variationin changes in quintile shares is also small relative to thevariation in growth in average incomes, implying that thelatter accounts for most of the variation in income growthin the poorest quintiles. These findings hold across mostregions and time periods and when conditioning on a varietyof country-level factors that may matter for growth andinequality changes. This evidence confirms the centralimportance of economic growth for poverty reduction andillustrates the difficulty of identifying specificmacroeconomic policies that are significantly associatedwith the relative growth rates of those in the poorest quintiles.