Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors

Bogetić, Željko ; Fedderke, Johannes W.

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: ABSOLUTE TERMS;    ACCOUNTING;    AGRICULTURE;    AIC;    ANNUAL GROWTH;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-3829
RP-ID  :  WPS3829

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively.An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.