Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China : The Role of Labor Markets and Complementary Education Reforms

Zhai, Fan ; Hertel, Thomas

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: ABSOLUTE VALUE;    ADVERSE IMPACTS;    AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT;    AGRICULTURAL EXPORT SUBSIDIES;    AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-3702
RP-ID  :  WPS3702

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

The authors assess the implications of multilateral trade reforms for poverty in China. They do so by combining results from a global modeling exercise with a national CGE model that features disaggregated households in both the rural and urban sectors. They examine two trade reform scenarios: one involving global trade liberalization, and one involving possible Doha Development Agenda reforms. Using the World Bank's $2 a day poverty line, the authors find that multilateral trade reforms do in fact reduce poverty in China. The biggest reductions occur in the rural areas-largely as a result of higher prices for farm products.