Assessing the Direct Economic Effects of Reallocating Irrigation Waterto Alternative Uses Concepts and an Application

Andriamananjara, Soamiely ; Brenton, Paul ; von Uexkull, Jan Erik ; Walkenhorst, Peter

关键词: ACCESS TO IMPORTS;    ACCOUNTING;    ACTUAL VALUE;    AD VALOREM;    AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-4920
RP-ID  :  WPS4920

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

This study discusses potential economicimplications for Nigeria of an Economic PartnershipAgreement with the European Union. It uses the World Bank sTariff Reform Impact Simulation Tool to assess the effectsof preferential tariff liberalization with respect to theEuropean Union. The results suggest that the impact of anEconomic Partnership Agreement on total imports into Nigeriawill be slight. This is in part because the Agreement willlikely allow the most protected sectors to be excluded fromliberalization, and also because where substantial tariffsare involved much of the increase in imports from theEuropean Union will occur at the expense of other suppliersof imports. It is this trade diversion, arising from thediscriminatory nature of the EPA, which generates a negativewelfare impact of the tariff reforms. One way for Nigeria tolimit these losses is to pursue non-preferential tradeliberalization before implementing an EPA. The paper looksat the large number of import bans in Nigeria and arguesthat the positive impact on welfare of removing these importbans is likely to be substantial. Their removal wouldundermine a major reason for cross border smuggling and pavethe way for a return to normal regional trade flows. Thepaper shows how an Economic Partnership Agreement presentsan opportunity for accelerating the reforms that are neededto support a strategy to increase regional and global tradeintegration. Such an agreement is more likely to havepositive and significant impacts when integrated into acomprehensive strategy toward competitiveness andalleviation of the supply constraints that have stifled theimpact of previous trade agreements. Key issues that shouldbe addressed include liberalization and regulatorystrengthening of services sectors to ensure that all firmsin Nigeria have access to efficiently produced backboneservices and initiatives to address the country s poor tradelogistics performance.