科技报告详细信息
Searching for a New Silver Age in Russia : The Drivers and Impacts of Population Aging, Overview Report
World Bank
Washington, DC
关键词: LIVING STANDARDS;    UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION;    IMPACT OF POPULATION;    SOCIAL NORMS;    UNEMPLOYMENT RATES;   
RP-ID  :  99487
学科分类:社会科学、人文和艺术(综合)
来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
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【 摘 要 】

Russia’s population is expected to agesignificantly over the next few decades. The coming declinein Russia’s working-age population will pose serious socialand economic challenges, but it can also open upopportunities. Without adequate adjustments of policies andbehaviors, an aging population can impair national growthand fiscal sustainability. These pessimistic forecasts,however, are based on the unrealistic assumption thatindividuals and government policy will not change. Achievinghealthy, active, and prosperous aging will require policychanges across a host of areas. Policies to support womencan both limit population aging and increase labor forceparticipation. Changes in behavior and policy can greatlymitigate the impact of aging on growth and fiscalsustainability. Promoting adult education and betterage-management human resources policies at the firm level isessential to improve the employment prospects for olderworkers and raise productivity across the age spectrum. Thisvolume presents research from the World Bank on the impactof demographic trends in Russia. The first section focuseson the macroeconomic impacts of aging and considers howaging has affected gross domestic product (GDP) growth andconvergence among Russian regions since the early 1990s; italso offers alternative approaches to forecasting therelationship between aging and growth. The second section,dealing with the relationship of human development outcomesand demographics, discusses how family policies can helpwomen have more children, and still attain greater andlonger participation in the labor force. The last partaddresses the role of adult education in improving Russia’scompetitiveness and enabling longer and more productiveworking lives. A final section pulls together the main conclusions.

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