South Sudan : Impact of a Continued Internal Conflict on Food Security and Poverty

Pape, Utz

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: SANITATION;    LIVING STANDARDS;    AGRICULTURAL POLICIES;    RISKS;    HOUSEHOLD SURVEY;   

RP-ID  :  98807

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

South Sudan is a fragile country beset by conflicts. The oil shutdown accompaniedby a border closure in 2012 was resolved, but ongoing military clashes betweenfactions of the ruling party have affected livelihoods since December 2013. Beforethe onset of these conflicts, large parts of the population were food insecure (2 outof 3 people) and lived in poverty (1 out of 2 people). This note estimates andjuxtaposes the impact of the oil shutdown and the ongoing military conflict onlivelihoods based on food price changes, predicted harvest losses and displacement.The resulting poverty estimates help to understand the structural implications ofthese conflicts. But to validate these numbers, test the underlying modelingassumptions and inform a policy response, new data needs to be collected urgently.