The report discusses the methodologicalsteps undertaken to inform the three studies and provides anoverview of new approaches and insights for quantifyingclimate and disaster risks to critical infrastructure,lifelines and agriculture in specific regions andoperational units in Turkey. The studies subject to reviewin this report are considered to be first of their kind inTurkey and are expected to set an example for otherinstitutions to build capacities to deal with variousadverse effects of climate change and natural disasters ontheir key industries, assets and services. The studies arenot short of limitations, due to their pilot nature. Allthree studies aim to provide risk-informed strategicguidance to beneficiary counterparts, rather thandetail-oriented and theoretical approaches. All threereports build on probabilistic multi-hazard risk assessments-each risk assessment comprises the following steps: (i)defining and understanding criticality of the assets andproducts; (ii) understanding vulnerability of criticalinfrastructure and key assets/products; and (iii) addressingvulnerability. The report further focuses on the KeyAgricultural Product Risk Assessment (KAPRA) study. TheKAPRA aims to develop financial options to build resiliencein Izmir’s agricultural economy and competitiveness bytaking into account the effects of climate change and therisks associated with it as well as the sustainability ofnatural resources and social dynamics. The KAPRA is one ofthe first in Turkey to look at the effects of climate changeon agricultural outputs and to suggest solutions foreconomically viable climate change adaptation and resiliencemeasures in the agricultural sector. The study was conductedin collaboration with Izmir Development Agency (IZKA). Thereport explains the framework which was developed in theKAPRA for the concept of ‘key agricultural product’ and thenshows how five key agricultural products were chosen forIzmir region, focusing on economic, social and ecologicalimpacts. The report explains in a next step the methodologyof the KAPRA for assessing climate change risks through theproduction chain, focusing on changes in the precipitationregime and in air temperatures, hailstorms, drought eventsand frost event. The methodology of the risk assessment isshowcased with the example of olive oil production. Finally,resilience solutions and business cases which were developedin the KAPRA are presented based on two examples of oliveoil production.
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