Uncertainty Analysis with Site-Specific Groundwater Models: Experiences and Observations.

Brewer, K. ; Fogle, T. ; Stieve, A. ; Barr, C.

Technical Information Center Oak Ridge Tennessee

关键词: Ground water;    Uncertainty;    Environmental transport;    Contamination;    Hydrogeology;   

RP-ID  :  DE2003812409

学科分类：工程和技术（综合）

美国|英语

来源: National Technical Reports Library

【 摘 要 】

Groundwater flow and transport predictions are a major component of remedial action evaluations for contaminated groundwater at the Savannah River Site. Because all groundwater modeling results are subject to uncertainty from various causes; quantification of the level of uncertainty in the modeling predictions is beneficial to project decision makers. Complex site-specific models present formidable challenges for implementing an uncertainty analysis. We present an overview of our experiences in conducting uncertainty analyses using the Monte Carlo method on two MODFLOW/MODPATH/MT3DMS groundwater flow and transport models in the reactor areas of the Savannah River Site.