Climate Change Vulnerability and Resilience: Current Status and Trends for Mexico

Ibarraran , Maria E. ; Malone, Elizabeth L. ; Brenkert, Antoinette L.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (U.S.)

关键词: Climatic Change;    Sensitivity Analysis;    54 Environmental Sciences;    Mexico;    Regional Analysis;   

DOI  :  10.2172/949939
RP-ID  :  PNNL-18136
RP-ID  :  AC05-76RL01830
RP-ID  :  949939

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

Climate change alters different localities on the planet in different ways. The impact on each region depends mainly on the degree of vulnerability that natural ecosystems and human-made infrastructure have to changes in climate and extreme meteorological events, as well as on the coping and adaptation capacity towards new environmental conditions. This study assesses the current resilience of Mexico and Mexican states to such changes, as well as how this resilience will look in the future. In recent studies (Moss et al. 2000, Brenkert and Malone 2005, Malone and Brenket 2008, Ibarrarán et al. 2007), the Vulnerability-Resilience Indicators Model (VRIM) is used to integrate a set of proxy variables that determine the resilience of a region to climate change. Resilience, or the ability of a region to respond to climate variations and natural events that result from climate change, is given by its adaptation and coping capacity and its sensitivity. On the one hand, the sensitivity of a region to climate change is assessed, emphasizing its infrastructure, food security, water resources, and the health of the population and regional ecosystems. On the other hand, coping and adaptation capacity is based on the availability of human resources, economic capacity and environmental capacity.