Novel Threat-risk Index Using Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Human Reliability Analysis - Final Report

Beitel, George A.

Idaho National Laboratory

关键词: 99 - General And Miscellaneous//Mathematics, Computing, And Information Science;    Ineel;    Simulation;    Reliability;    Risk Assessment;   

DOI  :  10.2172/910601
RP-ID  :  INEEL/EXT-03-01117
RP-ID  :  DE-AC07-99ID-13727
RP-ID  :  910601

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

In support of a national need to improve the current state-of-the-art in alerting decision makers to the risk of terrorist attack, a quantitative approach employing scientific and engineering concepts to develop a threat-risk index was undertaken at the Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory (INEEL). As a result of this effort, a set of models has been successfully integrated into a single comprehensive model known as Quantitative Threat-Risk Index Model (QTRIM), with the capability of computing a quantitative threat-risk index on a system level, as well as for the major components of the system. Such a threat-risk index could provide a quantitative variant or basis for either prioritizing security upgrades or updating the current qualitative national color-coded terrorist threat alert.