Spillover from the Conflict in Syria: An Assessment of the Factors that Aid and Impede the Spread of Violence

William Glendon Young ; David Stebbins ; Bryan Frederick ; Omar Al-Shahery

RAND Corporation

RAND Corporation

关键词: Iraq;    Turkey;    Jordan;    Syria;    Peacekeeping and Stability Operations;    Politics and Government;    Lebanon;    Refugees;   

DOI  :  10.7249/RR609
ISBN  :  9780833087263
RP-ID  :  RR-609-OSD

学科分类：自然科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: RAND Corporation Published Research

【 摘 要 】

All roads lead to Damascus and then back out again, but in different directions. The financial and military aid flowing into Syria from patrons and neighbors is intended to determine the outcome of the conflict between a loose confederation of rebel factions and the regime in Damascus. Instead, this outside support has the potential to perpetuate the existing civil war and to ignite larger regional hostilities between Sunni and Shia areas that could reshape the political geography of the Middle East. This report examines the main factors that are likely to contribute to or impede the spread of violence from civil war and insurgency in Syria, and then examines how they apply to Turkey, Lebanon, Iraq, and Jordan.