Foresight Services to support strategic programming within Horizon 2020: Foresight report (D3)

Helen Rebecca Schindler ; Salil Gunashekar ; Jonathan Cave ; Jamal Shahin ; Alun Rhydderch ; Benjamin Cave ; Catherine A. Lichten ; Nicole van der Meulen ; Veronika Horvath ; Sonia Sousa ; et al.

RAND Corporation

RAND Corporation

关键词: European Union;    Science;    Technology;    and Innovation Policy;    Emerging Technologies;   

DOI  :  10.7249/RR900
ISBN  :  9789279436253
RP-ID  :  RR-900-EC

学科分类：自然科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: RAND Corporation Published Research

【 摘 要 】

This report is an investigation into the scope for development and optimisation of policy interventions centred around the Horizon 2020 Programme (hereafter H2020), along ten thematic lines suggested by a recent crowdsourcing exercise. The study was conducted between June and September 2014. It was undertaken from a foresight perspective and seeks to explore links between long-term, forward-looking approaches and funding priorities. Chapter 1 presents the objectives and summarises the methods of the report; Chapter 2 describes the themes and analyses the nature and implications of their trend development; Chapter 3 presents a SWOT analysis oriented to clustering the themes and designed to expose what might usefully be done to improve knowledge and its application based on the current situation; Chapter 4 tackles the uncertainties of the environment in which thematic development and policy intervention will work by means of scenario analysis to identify critical dependencies; Chapter 5 concludes by integrating the results from the Report as a whole and making suggestions as to how the framework constructed in this report can be consistently reused. This report is based on: a trend analysis of significant current and emergent developments along these themes; a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analysis from the perspective of European innovation system stakeholders in the context of societal grand challenges; and scenario development taking into account the critical uncertainties and policy implications associated with these themes leading to 'meta-scenarios' showing how the themes will interact into the future.