Adaptive Peircean decision aid project summary assessments.

Senglaub, Michael E.

关键词: ALGORITHMS;    GAME THEORY;    HYPOTHESIS;    DECISION MAKING;    ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS Research-Decision making.;    Nuclear warfare-Decision making.;    Decis;   

DOI  :  10.2172/970229
RP-ID  :  SAND2006-7892
PID  :  OSTI ID: 970229
Others  :  TRN: US201003%%146

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

This efforts objective was to identify and hybridize a suite of technologies enabling the development of predictive decision aids for use principally in combat environments but also in any complex information terrain. The technologies required included formal concept analysis for knowledge representation and information operations, Peircean reasoning to support hypothesis generation, Mill's's canons to begin defining information operators that support the first two technologies and co-evolutionary game theory to provide the environment/domain to assess predictions from the reasoning engines. The intended application domain is the IED problem because of its inherent evolutionary nature. While a fully functioning integrated algorithm was not achieved the hybridization and demonstration of the technologies was accomplished and demonstration of utility provided for a number of ancillary queries.