Comparison of AEO 2010 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX Futures Prices

Bolinger, Mark A. ; Wiser, Ryan H.

关键词: 29;    03;    ENERGY;    FUELS;    HAZARDS;    NATURAL GAS;    PRICES;   

DOI  :  10.2172/980912
RP-ID  :  LBNL-2949E
PID  :  OSTI ID: 980912
Others  :  TRN: US201012%%1222

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

On December 14, 2009, the reference-case projections from Annual Energy Outlook 2010 were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have, in the past, compared the EIA's reference-case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables can play in itigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO reference-case gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings.