The land use, trade, and global food security impacts of an agroecological transition in the EU

Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems

Sustainable Food Systems

Pierre-Marie Aubert¹  Xavier Poux²  Michele Schiavo³  Chantal Le Mouël⁴ 

[1] Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), Paris, France;Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), Paris, France;AScA, Paris, France;Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), Paris, France;SMART, INRAE, Institut Agro, Rennes, France;SMART, INRAE, Institut Agro, Rennes, France;

关键词: agroecology;    agricultural transition;    DIETS;    modelling;    organic agriculture;    TYFA;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fsufs.2023.1189952

 received in 2023-03-20, accepted in 2023-08-03,  发布年份 2023

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

The need for an agroecological transition is regularly advocated by many actors and policymakers on the European scene, but many questions arise regarding the potential consequences that this transition may have on the rest of the world. Using a world biomass balance model, in this paper we show that a deep agroecological transition in the EU, if accompanied by a shift of EU food regimes towards more plant-based diets, is not detrimental to global food security. Without increasing its cropland areas, the EU can maintain the same level of exported calories as in a business-as-usual scenario while reducing its import needs. This result holds true also in an alternative scenario in which the other world regions adopt agroecological production methods and healthier diets. In contrast, an agricultural transition taking place in the EU without a change of EU food regimes, would drastically increase EU food dependence on global markets and contribute to the expansion of agricultural land in the rest of the world.

【 授权许可】

Unknown   
Copyright © 2023 Schiavo, Le Mouël, Poux and Aubert.