Cost-effectiveness of Paxlovid in reducing severe COVID-19 and mortality in China

Frontiers in Public Health

Public Health

Lanfang Li¹  Weina Zhang²  Qiao Liu³  Dan Liu⁴  Zhen Zhou⁵  Guan Wang⁶ 

[1] Department of Pharmacy, Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University, Jining, China;Department of Pharmacy, Northwest Women’s and Children’s Hospital, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China;Department of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China;Reproductive Medicine Center, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China;School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia;State-Owned Assets Management Department, Northwest University of Political Science and Law, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China;

关键词: COVID-19;    Paxlovid;    cost-effectiveness;    affordable price;    China;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fpubh.2023.1174879

 received in 2023-02-27, accepted in 2023-05-31,  发布年份 2023

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

ObjectivesTo assess the cost-effectiveness of Paxlovid in reducing severe COVID-19 and its associated morality, and to investigate the affordable price of Paxlovid in China.Materials and methodsUsing a Markov model, two interventions by Paxlovid prescription (with and without prescription) were compared in terms of COVID-19-related clinical outcomes and economic loss. COVID-related costs were collected from the societal perspective. Effectiveness data were obtained from literature. The primary outcomes were total social cost, disability adjusted life-years (DALYs) and net monetary benefit (NMB). Scenario analyses were performed to investigate the affordable price of Paxlovid in China. Deterministic sensitivity analyses (DSA) and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed to verify the model robustness.ResultsCompared with the non-Paxlovid cohort, the NMBs of the Paxlovid cohort were only higher in the subgroup of patients aged over 80 years old, regardless of their vaccination status. Our scenario analysis found that, the price ceiling of Paxlovid/box for it to be cost-effective was RMB 8,993 (8,970–9,009) in those aged over 80 years old who were not vaccinated, which is the highest; and was RMB 35 (27–45) in those aged 40–59 years old who were vaccinated, which is the lowest. Sensitivity analyses found that the incremental NMB for the vaccinated people aged over 80 years was most sensitive to the efficacy of Paxlovid and the cost-effectiveness probability of Paxlovid increased with its decreasing price.ConclusionUnder the current marketing price of Paxlovid/box (RMB 1,890), using Paxlovid was only cost-effective in people aged over 80 years old regardless of their vaccination status.

【 授权许可】

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Copyright © 2023 Zhang, Li, Zhou, Liu, Wang and Liu.