Excess mortality from all causes during the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia

article

Saraceni, Valeria¹  Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves¹  Cavalcante, João Roberto¹  Vieira, Fernanda Morena dos Santos Barbeiro¹  Cardoso, Bruno Baptista¹  Cruz, Débora Medeiros de Oliveira e¹  Aguilar, Gislani Mateus Oliveira¹  Durovni, Betina¹  Soranz, Daniel¹  Garcia, Márcio Henrique de Oliveira¹ 

[1] Secretaria Municipal de Saúde do Município do Rio de Janeiro

关键词: COVID-19;    Mortality;    Epidemiology;    Public health surveillance;   

DOI  :  10.1590/1980-549720230013

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: SciELO

【 摘 要 】

Objective: To evaluate excess mortality in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, due to the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020 to January 2022).Methods: Ecological study using secondary data from the Brazilian Mortality Information System, having the city of Rio de Janeiro as the unit of analysis. Excess mortality was estimated by the difference between the mean number of all expected deaths and the mean number of observed deaths, considering the 2015–2019 period. The quantile regression method was adjusted. The total value of cases above that expected by the historical series was estimated. Among all deaths, cases of COVID-19 and Influenza as underlying causes of death were selected. The ratio between excess mortality and deaths due to COVID-19 was calculated.Results: We identified an excess of 31,920 deaths by the mean (increase of 26.8%). The regression pointed to 31,363 excess deaths. We found 33,401 deaths from COVID-19 and 176 deaths from Influenza. The ratio between the verified excess mortality and deaths due to COVID-19 was 0.96 by the mean and 0.95 by the regression.Conclusion: The study pointed to large excess deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Rio de Janeiro distributed in waves, including the period of the Influenza outbreak.

【 授权许可】

CC BY-NC