Climate Change Factors' Impact on the Egyptian Agricultural Sector

Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development

article

Zainab Shawky El-Khalifa¹  Hoda Farouk Zahran²  Ahmed Ayoub¹ 

[1] Project Management and Sustainable Development, Arid Lands Cultivation Research Institute, City of Scientific Research and Technological Applications;Pollution Management Department, Environment and Natural Materials Research Institute, City of Scientific Research and Technological Applications

关键词: Climate change;    Carbon dioxide;    Temperature;    Rainfall;    Agriculture GDP;    Unit root tests;    ARDL;    Bound tests;   

DOI  :  10.55493/5005.v12i3.4600

学科分类：农业科学（综合）

来源: Asian Economic and Social Society

【 摘 要 】

Climate change is the greatest threat to agriculture and food security, particularly in developing countries. Climate change occurs as CO2 levels in the atmosphere rise, causing changes in wind patterns and rainfall and rising temperatures. This study assumes that climate change will have a long-run impact on Egypt's agricultural sector. So, an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) was applied to examine the effects of climate change factors and other economic factors on Egyptian agricultural GDP in the short and long run from 1990 to 2020. The findings indicate that climate change factors have a long-run impact on Egypt's agricultural sector. In the long run, CO2 is the primary cause of Egypt's increasing temperatures. In the short run, climate change occurs because CO2 levels in the atmosphere increase, resulting in global warming, storms, floods, and rising sea levels. The result is that rising temperatures have reduced agricultural GDP.

【 授权许可】

CC BY