Utility-free heuristic models of two-option choice can mimic predictions of utility-stage models under many conditions

Frontiers in Neuroscience

Steven T Piantadosi¹  Benjamin eHayden¹ 

[1] University of Rochester;

关键词: Decision Making;    Heuristics;    utility;    value comparison;    dimensional prioritization;    value correlate;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fnins.2015.00105

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Economists often model choices as if decision-makers assign each option a scalar value variable, known as utility, and then select the option with the highest utility. It remains unclear whether as-if utility models describe real mental and neural steps in choice. Although choices alone cannot prove the existence of a utility stage in choice, utility transformations are often taken to provide the most parsimonious or psychologically plausible explanation for choice data. Here, we show that it is possible to mathematically transform a large set of common utility-stage two-option choice models (specifically ones in which dimensions are linearly separable) into a psychologically plausible heuristic model (specifically, a dimensional prioritization heuristic) that has no utility computation stage. We then show that under a range of plausible assumptions, both classes of model predict similar neural responses. These results highlight the difficulties in using neuroeconomic data to infer the existence of a value stage in choice.

【 授权许可】

Unknown