Industry strategies for the promotion of E-mobility under alternative policy and economic scenarios

European Transport Research Review

Gillian Harrison¹  Jonatan J. Gómez Vilchez¹  Christian Thiel¹ 

[1] European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Directorate Energy, Transport and Climate, Sustainable Transport Unit;

关键词: Electro-mobility;    Automobile industry;    System dynamics modelling;    EU;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s12544-018-0296-6

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

Abstract Purpose In this study, we consider the European electro-mobility market from an industrial perspective, and focus on effects of market conditions and manufacturer strategies, with the objective to gain insight on what could inhibit the successful market penetration of electric powertrain vehicles. Methods We use the EC-JRC Powertrain Technology Transition Market Agent Model (PTTMAM), a system dynamics model based around the interactions of conceptual market agent groups in the EU. We assess strategies employed by automobile manufacturers towards the development and market penetration of electric vehicles. Results Impacts on electric powertrain sales shares (up to 2050) related to industrial strategies, represented by learning effect, marketing effort and R&D funding, are presented under different scenarios related to policy, regulation and market conditions. Conclusion It is concluded from the results presented here that competition between electrical powertrain options may be more inhibitive than competition against conventional counterparts, with both monetary and non-monetary industry support for immature powertrains key to their long-term success when supportive policies are designed to be technology neutral.

【 授权许可】

Unknown