Indonesia's Electricity Demand Dynamic Modelling

5th International Conference on Manufacturing, Optimization, Industrial and Material Engineering

Sulistio, J.^1 ; Wirabhuana, A.^2 ; Wiratama, M.G.^1

Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Islam Indonesia, Indonesia^1

Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga, Indonesia^2

关键词: Commercial business;    Electricity demands;    Electricity system;    Industrial sector;    Model validation;    Simulation technique;    System dynamics approach;    System dynamics modelling;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/215/1/012026/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/215/1/012026

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Electricity Systems modelling is one of the emerging area in the Global Energy policy studies recently. System Dynamics approach and Computer Simulation has become one the common methods used in energy systems planning and evaluation in many conditions. On the other hand, Indonesia experiencing several major issues in Electricity system such as fossil fuel domination, demand - supply imbalances, distribution inefficiency, and bio-devastation. This paper aims to explain the development of System Dynamics modelling approaches and computer simulation techniques in representing and predicting electricity demand in Indonesia. In addition, this paper also described the typical characteristics and relationship of commercial business sector, industrial sector, and family / domestic sector as electricity subsystems in Indonesia. Moreover, it will be also present direct structure, behavioural, and statistical test as model validation approach and ended by conclusions.