On the Economic Rationality of Market Participants: The Case of Expectations in the U.S. Pork Market

Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

关键词: business fluctuations;    market dynamics;    pork market;    price expectations;   

DOI  :  10.22004/ag.econ.30882

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

This study investigates the nature of price expectations in a competitive market. The approach is illustrated in an application to the U.S. pork market, which exhibits cyclical patterns and biological production lags. Pork price equations are estimated under different expectation regimes. The empirical results suggest the presence of heterogeneous price expectations among market participants. A large proportion of the market (73%) is found to be associated with backward-looking expectations, where future prices are anticipated on the basis of their observed historical patterns.

【 授权许可】

Unknown