Future Prospects of Iran, U.S and Turkey's Pistachio Exports

International Journal of Agricultural Management and Development

关键词: A d v a n t a g e s;    A R I M A;    Pistachio;    Iran;    Turkey;    U.S.A.;   

DOI  :  

来源: DOAJ

【 摘 要 】

In this study, the situation of Iran, U.S and Turkey's Pistachioexport is investigated. to this purpose, Revealed ComparativeAdvantage (RCA) Index is calculated based on Agricultural andtotal economy export, separately, then forecasted by using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) approached,for 2008-2013. The results show that considering both commoditybaskets, Turkey and Iran had comparative advantage in Pistachioexport in 1982-2007, but U.S did not. Also, forecasting RCAindex, based on both commodity baskets, show the improvementof U.S Pistachio export situation, unlike the values of RCAindex forecasting for Iran and Turkey is falling. Therefore, it isrecommended that Iran and Turkey attempt to identify new consumer markets in order to retain their market shares in pistachioexport. Following the U.S imposed policies during last six yearswhich improved its pistachio export, Iran and Turkey canincrease their market shares.

【 授权许可】

Unknown