Potential Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Future Birth Rate

Frontiers in Public Health

article

Md. Asad Ullah¹  Abu Tayab Moin²  Yusha Araf³  Atiqur Rahman Bhuiyan⁴  Mark D. Griffiths⁵  David Gozal⁶ 

[1] Department of Biotechnology and Genetic Engineering, Faculty of Biological Sciences, Jahangirnagar University;Department of Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Chittagong;Department of Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology, School of Life Sciences, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology;Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Chittagong;International Gaming Research Unit, Psychology Department, Nottingham Trent University, United Kingdom;Department of Child Health, MU Women's and Children's Hospital, University of Missouri School of Medicine, United States

关键词: COVID-19;    pandemic;    demography;    birth rate;    fertility;   

DOI  :  10.3389/fpubh.2020.578438

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: Frontiers

【 摘 要 】

Here, we examine the potential effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on future birth rates. This highly contagious disease originated in China, and rapidly spread worldwide, leading to extensive lockdown policies being implemented globally with the aim of containing the infection rates and its serious attendant consequences. Based on previous extant literature, this paper overviews the potential demographic consequences of the current progressively widespread epidemic on conception and fertility as driven by the data obtained during similar prior incidents. In general, epidemics manifest a common pattern as far as their impact on population, which is remarkably similar to natural disasters, i.e., a steep decline in birth rates followed by gradual increases and then followed by a baby boom. Additionally, we have also depicted how economic conditions, mental health, fear, and mortality may also influence future birth rates.

【 授权许可】

CC BY