Second Primary Malignancies in Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis

The oncologist

article

Huixun Jia¹  Qingguo Li²  Jing Yuan⁴  Xiaodong Sun¹  Zhenyu Wu⁵ 

[1] Clinical Research Center, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine;Department of Colorectal Surgery, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center;Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety and Collaborative Innovation Center of Social Risks Governance in Health, Fudan University;Clinical Statistic Center, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center;Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety and Collaborative Innovation Center of Social Risks Governance in Health, Fudan University

关键词: Colorectal cancer;    Second primary malignancy;    SEER;    Competing-risk model;    Nomogram;   

DOI  :  10.1634/theoncologist.2019-0266

学科分类：地质学

来源: AlphaMed Press Incorporated

【 摘 要 】

Purpose This study aimed to profile the characteristics of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) with a second primary malignancy (SPM) and to identify patients with CRC at high risk of developing SPMs. Methods We retrospectively reviewed data on patients with CRC aged 20–79 years from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Eligible patients were categorized into only one primary malignancy and SPM cohorts. A competing-risk model was used to quantify associations between SPM occurrence and the multiple traits of patients. Finally, a decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the model by calculating net benefit. Results A total of 179,884 patients were identified, 18,285 (10.2%) of whom developed SPMs during a maximum follow-up of approximately 18 years. The median survival time after the second diagnosis was less than 4 years. The 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year cumulative risks of developing an SPM were 3.9%, 5.9%, and 10.0%, respectively. According to the multivariable competing-risk model, male colon cancer survivors, older in age, with a well-differentiated tumor and localized disease, who were treated with surgery were susceptible to SPMs. The DCA yielded a wide range of risk thresholds at which the net benefits would be obtained from our proposed model. Conclusion CRC survivors remain at high risk of developing SPMs. Patients with a second diagnosis of cancer showed not only significantly worse survival but also higher cancer-specific mortality. A web-based individualized predictive tool was also provided to assist clinicians in identifying patients at high risk of developing SPMs and planning their future care management. Implications for Practice Colorectal cancer survivors remain at high risk of developing a second primary malignancy (SPM). This study aimed to profile the characteristics of patients with colorectal cancer with second primary malignancies and to further explore the risk factors related to the development of second primary malignancies, using a large population-based cohort. A clinically useful competing-risk nomogram was developed to predict the risk of SPMs based on individual clinical factors. According to the findings, older age, male sex, white or black race, localized disease, and treatment with surgery among patients with colon cancer were associated with an increased risk of developing an SPM. These findings and the proposed tool could be useful to clinicians and caregivers in the clinical counseling of patients with colorectal cancer and the development of long-term care management.

【 授权许可】

CC BY|CC BY-NC