Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries

European Journal of Medical Research

Sultan Ayoub Meo¹  Faris Jamal AlMutairi¹  Ali Abdullah Alomar¹  Adnan Mahmood Usmani¹  Abdulelah Adnan Abukhalaf¹  David C. Klonoff² 

[1] Department of Physiology, College of Medicine, King Saud University, PO Box 2925, 11461, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia;Diabetes Research Institute, Mills-Peninsula Medical Center, San Mateo, California, USA;

关键词: COVID 19;    Lockdown;    Quarantine;    Prevalence;    Mortality;    Epidemiological trends;   

DOI  :  10.1186/s40001-020-00456-9

来源: Springer

【 摘 要 】

BackgroundThis study aimed to assess the impact of 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the trends in the prevalence and mortality in 27 countries during COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsTwenty-seven countries were randomly selected from the different continents. The information on the trends in the prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was obtained from World Health Organization and lockdown data were obtained from concerned countries and their ministries. The impact of lockdown for 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the prevalence and mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was analyzed.ResultsThe findings showed that 15 days after the lockdown there was a trend toward a decline, but no significant decline in the mean prevalence and mean mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 15 days before, and 15 days during the lockdown in 27 countries. The mean growth factor for number of cases was 1.18 and for mortality rate was 1.16.ConclusionsThe findings indicate that 15 days after the lockdown, daily cases of COVID-19 and the growth factor of the disease showed a declined trend, but there was no significant decline in the prevalence and mortality.

【 授权许可】

CC BY