Revista de Saúde Pública | |
A mathematical model for malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions | |
Hyun M Yang1  | |
[1] ,Universidade Estadual de Campinas Instituto de Matemática, Estatística e Computação Científica Departamento de Matemática AplicadaCampinas SP ,Brasil | |
关键词: Malaria; Mathematical models; Greenhouse effect; Socioeconomic factors; Communicable disease control; Risk; Sensitivity analysis; Malária; Modelos matemáticos; Efeito estufa; Fatores socioeconômicos; Controle de doenças transmissíveis; Risco; Análise de sensitividade; | |
DOI : 10.1590/S0034-89102001000300002 | |
来源: SciELO | |
【 摘 要 】
OBJECTIVE: Sensitivity analysis was applied to a mathematical model describing malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions. METHODS: A previous compartment model was proposed to describe the overall transmission of malaria. This model was built up on several parameters and the prevalence of malaria in a community was characterized by the values assigned to them. To assess the control efforts, the model parameters can vary on broad intervals. RESULTS: By performing the sensitivity analysis on equilibrium points, which represent the level of malaria infection in a community, the different possible scenarios are obtained when the parameters are changed. CONCLUSIONS: Depending on malaria risk, the efforts to control its transmission can be guided by a subset of parameters used in the mathematical model.
【 授权许可】
CC BY
All the contents of this journal, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License
【 预 览 】
Files | Size | Format | View |
---|---|---|---|
RO202005130029461ZK.pdf | 263KB | download |