Breaks and Convergence in U.S. Regional Crime Rates: Analysis of Their Presence and Implications

Social Sciences

Steve Cook¹ 

[1] School of Management, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK

关键词: crime;    convergence;    breaks;   

DOI  :  10.3390/socsci2030180

来源: mdpi

【 摘 要 】

The literature examining the relative properties of U.S. regional crime rates is extended. Using a novel method, convergence in alternative classifications of crime is detected over the period 1965 to 2009. Subsequent statistical analysis identifies distinct epochs in the evolution of crime which match those noted anecdotally in the literature. The findings concerning convergence within these epochs prove interesting, with results found to vary both between the alternative crime classifications and through time. In particular, evidence of divergence is noted which contrasts starkly with other results for earlier and later periods. Potential explanations for the observed results, their importance for policy and their implications for theory and future research are discussed.

【 授权许可】

CC BY   
© 2013 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.