Water | |
Combined Impacts of Medium Term Socio-Economic Changes and Climate Change on Water Resources in a Managed Mediterranean Catchment | |
Anastassi Stefanova1  Cornelia Hesse2  Valentina Krysanova2  Lutz Breuer2  | |
[1] Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research, Post Box 601203, Potsdam 14412, Germany; | |
关键词: Mar Menor; socio-economic changes; land use change; management change; climate change impacts; eco-hydrological modelling; Soil and Water Integrated Model (SWIM); | |
DOI : 10.3390/w7041538 | |
来源: mdpi | |
【 摘 要 】
Climate projections agree on a dryer and warmer future for the Mediterranean. Consequently, the region is likely to face serious problems regarding water availability and quality in the future. We investigated potential climate change impacts, alone (for three scenario periods) and in combination with four socio-economic scenarios (for the near future) on water resources in a Mediterranean catchment, whose economy relies on irrigated agriculture and tourism. For that, the Soil and Water Integrated Model (SWIM) was applied to the drainage area of the Mar Menor coastal lagoon, using a set of 15 climate scenarios and different land use maps and management settings. We assessed the long-term average seasonal and annual changes in generated runoff, groundwater recharge and actual evapotranspiration in the catchment, as well as on water inflow and nutrients input to the lagoon. The projected average annual changes in precipitation are small for the first scenario period, and so are the simulated impacts on all investigated components, on average. The negative trend of potential climate change impacts on water resources (
【 授权许可】
CC BY
© 2015 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
【 预 览 】
Files | Size | Format | View |
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RO202003190014002ZK.pdf | 2489KB | download |